The battle of Aleppo

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The battles which waged by the Syrian army and its allies in the eastern, western, and southern rural areas of Aleppo and which congregated with the battles which are similar in context and in results in the countryside of Lattakia prove all assembled that the victory’s line is resolved according to the graph line of the processes course, the progress is in favor of the winner’s side, and the necessary short time to win in them from one round to another and from one battle to another ensure the decline of the moral situation of the armed groups led by Al Nusra Front in all those fronts where Turkey is forming  their announced clear background.

The course of those battles imposes strongly the outcome of the battle of Aleppo, thus recapturing of Khanasser in dear battle with ISIS group, and the battles of the eastern countryside of Aleppo which were against ISIS have led to achieving victories, till the main road of Aleppo Al-Raqqa, and the road of Aleppo Al-Bab according to ISIS have become under the control of the Syrian army and its allies. Everything showed that the battle of liberating districts of Aleppo which are under the control of the armed groups is approaching, because Aleppo must be the second battle. After breaking the siege of Nobul and Zahraa on one hand and capturing the font of Mare up to Al Azaz on the other hand, the supply line from Turkey to the armed groups has become impeded. It was clear for the military analysts that the battle of Idlib would be less expensive if it is preceded by the process of completing the freedom of Aleppo, because after the closure of the borders with Turkey, resolving Aleppo, and cleaning the countryside of Lattakia in parallel with having control on the international road of Aleppo-Hama by the army in many points and its progress in the rural areas of Homs and Hama, the battle of Idlib including the battle of eliminating Al Nusra front will be less expensive.

The armistice which its framework has been drawn by the American Russian understanding and has been issued by a resolution of the Security Council has occurred to grant the Syrian army an opportunity to mobilize its forces and to crowd them to wage the battle of Palmyra where it achieved a historic achievement that forms half of the war on ISIS, it was not possible to wage it without the armistice, but the armistice has granted Al Nusra Front an opportunity for playing with the mask of Al Riyadh group and including the areas of its control in the countryside of Aleppo to the provisions of the truce since they are areas that raise the flag of so called The Free Army, this led to the postponement of Aleppo’s bottle, while the bottle of Palmyra has preceded it. According to Al Nusra, the big sudden achievement and the unexpected prompt collapse of ISIS in Palmyra within the equation of the countryside of Aleppo and the truce were as an announcement of the approach of Idlib ‘s bottle which is the last stronghold of Al Nusra, and which is no more possible to hide behind the group of Riyadh, this requires lifting the mask in the rural areas of Aleppo and infringing the truce on the basis of putting the groups which are affiliated to Al Riaydh in front of their fate after they have been used them enough, thus the protection of the stronghold of Al-Nusra in Idlib has become more important than committing to the truce.

What did the pretension of Al Nusra and the group of Riyadh of being clever in the countryside of Aleppo do?, it granted the Syrian army and its allies the opportunities of capturing Palmyra and Al Karyatein and the return to the maturity of Aleppo, Idlib is waiting the freedom after Aleppo.

Tarnslated by Lina Shehadeh,