Yemen….. The smartness of timing

Written by Nasser Kandil,

If Syria is the critical arena of the wars of the region, Yemen is the barometer of the direction of these wars where the remaining pushing power to hamper the opportunities of the settlements and to encourage the continuation of the wars is Saudi Arabia. The Saudi vigor and the ability to endure are shown in Yemen. But those who manage the hours of timing there, are the resistance’s forces which are surrounded by a lot of mystery, few expect its steadfastness to this extent and very few described the resilience of Yemen with the natural standards of pride, and bearing the cruelty  of life, It has ignored the additive value of the strategic cleverness  that is shown by the leadership of the resistance in its Yemeni wing, as it was shown by the military tactics in the time of resorting to ballistic missiles bearing hard months and painful blows without putting it into circulation, as revealed by the gradual dealing with the negotiations within limits that commensurate with the central goal for achieving the national partnership, which without it there is neither settlement nor solution. The smartness of managing the security aspect links ceasing-fire with stopping the aggression and lifting the siege as well as with good investment of the situation in the borders in the service of this goal.

When the Yemeni political Council was formed to unite the efforts of Ansar Allah and the Popular Conference within a political negotiating block that improves managing the affairs of the country, it was known that forming the government will be the next step, but the delay which was witnessed by many people was a sign of confusion, as revealing the time of the birth of the new government today. Taking over the responsibility of the government comes in conjunction with estimating the maturity of Saudi Arabia of getting out of war, which implies accepting a different ceiling of the Saudi ambitions; this was expressed by Riyadh’s acceptance of the initiative of the US Secretary of State John Kerry in the beginning, then the acceptance of Muscat’s Agreement, but with suspension waiting for the maturity of its Yemeni group to accept the losses regarding the form of the rule on one hand, and waiting the future of the war on Aleppo. The Saudis are resorting to escalation in Yemen hoping to reduce the pressure in Aleppo. This means with the move of Mansour Hadi to Aden on one hand, there is a negotiating readiness to receive the UN envoy, on the other hand, the wining of the Syrian army and the resistance in Aleppo means the demise of the Saudi need for an expensive aimless escalation.

Forming the Yemeni government in Sanaa disables the effect of the steps of Mansour Hadi concerning the central bank, because it returns globally the opportunity of dealing with the two governments equally, and imposes in return a political reference for the army and the security agencies  which work in the areas under the dominance of the new government, so this will disable the talk about pure security procedures that revolve about giving the weapons and the withdrawal, but about integrating an army divided between two governments, and spreading the authority of the unified army over the entire country. The unified government will be an outcome of disentangling the two governments, and having a new government, or the integration of the two governments and redistributing the portfolios of the new government according to the equation of sharing the authority after agreeing on a temporary president and a new head of the government for the transitional tasks before going to the elections on the basis of new constitution that is headed by the transitional government.

The smartness of timing is half of the achievement.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,