Iran and the new lesson of Iraqi Kurdistan for those who do understand

Written by Nasser Kandil,

While media and politics are centered on reading the messages of the events of Basra, the governmental intransigence in Iraq, the fabricated escalation in the war of powers to justify the disruption in Lebanon, the Summit of Tehran, and the battle of Idlib which seemed clear that all the threats do not affect the decision-makers in it, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard announced targeting the sites of the armed Kurdish-Iranian rebellious groups based in Iraqi Kurdistan. These groups are organized and sponsored by the Americans to carry out sabotage acts in Iran. This event is so important and has messages that are related to the Iranian decision in dealing with the American attempts to change the balances of victory in Syria which its last minutes will be in favor of the axis of the resistance which Iran forms its main force and strategic depth.

The message of Iraqi Kurdistan and its most important lesson is that Iran which in the past stopped some of these groups to prevent any escalation and was prepared inside its borders to prevent the infiltration of these groups, has decided to chase them and to get rid of them inside the Iraqi borders during the direct US presence in Iraq and at the most internal complicated political Iraqi moments, and during the political internal Iraqi discussions regarding the role of Iran that is supposed to consider it and to be ready to bear any positions and statements against it, but it did the opposite, it did not care of what will be said, since in every confrontation America is the opposite party directly or indirectly, so there are no red lines that prevent Iran from involving in a direct confrontation no matter what the results will be, since it is ready to bear the consequences and take risks.

This means directly that the messages can be interpreted in two virtual battlefields; the first one in Syria according to what is post- Idlib, and the two-year Iranian continuous anticipation of the battle of Raqqa, including ousting the Americans from Syria. It is not a secret that the operation which targeted the Kurdish groups which were ready to target Iran occurred after two days of the attempt of similar Kurdish groups led by the Americans to target the Syrian army in Qamishli. The second battlefield will be in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran would warn from closing it in front of oil exports if its movement in the oil market was confined in a way that affected its financial and commercial situation. According to Iran’s concept of national security, the military action outside Iran’s territories and without prior coordination with the concerned neighboring governments is a concept that Washington must take into consideration when the zero-hour in the Gulf approaches.

This message is clear, it does not allow any misunderstanding of Iran and its allies towards the attempts of strife ignited by the Americans in Iraq and wanted to ignite in Lebanon. Containment and embracement are two successful methods in the Iraqi and Lebanese internal events and a successful policy of Iran. The chaos in Basra in Iraq ended the nomination of Dr. Haidar Al Abadi who is supported by the Americans for the premiership, and beheld Al Sayyed Moqtada Al-Sadr’s party the responsibility of the chaos which targeted his opponents and the Iranian Consulate, after it was intended to target the Popular Crowd and the former Prime Minister Nouri Al Malki and beholding them along with Iran the responsibility of the growing suffer of the people of Basra. In Lebanon, the attempts of beholding the President of the Republic the responsibility of the delay of the birth of the government have failed. It seemed clear that the responsibility of forming a government is in charge of the assigned prime minister despite the crowd which was brought to create a clash of presidential powers. The message here is “do not misunderstand the concept of flexibility, since the message of strength is somewhere else, we are not obliged when you attack us to respond in the same place and in the same way, so be aware of the meanings and concepts and put them in your consideration”.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,